May 25, 2006

Geeks Predict...

UBS Analysts Predict the World Champion

Analysts at UBS (a global Investment Bank that nobody really cares about) has made a bold prediction for this year's World Cup.... And the winner is...
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....
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ITALY...?

According to UBS, Italy has a 54% probability of winning the cup with Brazil as the runner-up.

While Italy had previously lost in two finals vs Brazil in 1970 and 1994, the analysts tip the scale in favour of the Italians in view that this year's finals are played on European soil. Historical trend shows that European teams have won 8/9 World Cup tournaments held in Europe, with Brazil being the odd winner in 1958 (Sweden). While Brazil had also won two on neutral territory (USA and Japorea), they perceive this insufficient to break the "home continent winner" trend.

... I wonder if UBS heard of Luciano Moggi and the scandal prior to their analysis...

But still, apparently their methods have correctly predicted 89% of all the finalists for all the past World Cups. So betters/punters/part time bookies should take note of this.

But having said that, the best bit of news from the analysis (for most Hantu Bola contributors/readers) is that England will be knocked out in the quarter finals by Holland.

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